The Forecast: Who Will Win the Democratic Nomination?

OZY, 0ptimus and Decision Desk HQ bring you an exclusive election prediction model, crunching polls, demographics and more to provide a projection of the candidates' vote share in each state — and their chance of winning a majority of delegates. This is not just another poll; it's a sophisticated prediction engine designed to keep you ahead of the curve.

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2020 Election

Who Will Win the Democratic Primary? Our New Prediction Model Says …

Who Will Win the Democratic Primary? Our New Prediction Model Says …

Joe Biden is the odds-on favorite after we simulated the primary election 10,000 times. But a lot can change.