The Forecast: Who Will Win the Democratic Nomination?

OZY, 0ptimus and Decision Desk HQ bring you an exclusive election prediction model, crunching polls, demographics and more to provide a projection of the candidates' vote share in each state — and their chance of winning a majority of delegates. This is not just another poll; it's a sophisticated prediction engine designed to keep you ahead of the curve.
NATIONAL Chance of winning a majority of delegates
SOUTH CAROLINA Projected vote share
CALIFORNIA Projected vote share
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2020 Election

Bernie Sanders Meets His Final Nomination Hurdle: Black Voters

Bernie Sanders Meets His Final Nomination Hurdle: Black Voters

To secure an unassailable delegate majority, Sanders will have to close the deal with Black voters, starting in South Carolina.